Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.111961 0.124174 0.136742 0.150611 0.165459 0.180848 0.197976
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.092746 0.111051 0.130882 0.153831 0.179525 0.207274 0.239377
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.082645 0.105703 0.131796 0.163181 0.199581 0.240148 0.288451
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.074870 0.101539 0.132884 0.171843 0.218359 0.271528 0.336289
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.065172 0.093641 0.128355 0.172855 0.227429 0.291248 0.370557
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.055411 0.084416 0.121105 0.169568 0.230533 0.303357 0.395539
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.051161 0.081763 0.121631 0.175552 0.244724 0.328695 0.436462
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.046814 0.078443 0.120852 0.179515 0.256172 0.350630 0.473397
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.042513 0.074696 0.119091 0.181858 0.265331 0.369644 0.506825
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.038274 0.070574 0.116424 0.182656 0.272252 0.385736 0.536652
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.038111 0.072500 0.122213 0.195003 0.294517 0.421611 0.591782
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035124 0.069762 0.121098 0.197647 0.303784 0.440828 0.625966
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032299 0.067215 0.120362 0.201140 0.314790 0.463192 0.665506
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028920 0.063453 0.117602 0.201647 0.321776 0.480534 0.699064
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028069 0.063894 0.121228 0.211485 0.341860 0.515533 0.756113
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.027263 0.064312 0.124779 0.221253 0.361993 0.550863 0.814037
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024694 0.061252 0.122562 0.222195 0.369501 0.569158 0.849552
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021429 0.056499 0.117260 0.218148 0.369640 0.577323 0.871601
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020518 0.056185 0.119224 0.225258 0.385951 0.607735 0.923637
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.019263 0.055039 0.119683 0.229972 0.398793 0.633486 0.969658
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017800 0.053293 0.118980 0.232759 0.408778 0.655348 1.010608
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.016189 0.051030 0.117207 0.233708 0.415967 0.673328 1.046415
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.016671 0.053430 0.123832 0.248411 0.443992 0.720856 1.122982